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Tweaked estimates in UpdatePokerPrior

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This commit is contained in:
Grant Sanderson 2017-06-07 15:07:53 -07:00
parent a21c96991f
commit 810cf522e2
1 changed files with 71 additions and 7 deletions
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78
eop/bayes.py
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@ -498,7 +498,10 @@ class UpdatePokerPrior(SampleSpaceScene):
self.write_P_flush_given_bet()
self.reshape_rectangles()
self.compare_prior_to_posterior()
self.tweak_estimates()
self.preview_tweaks()
self.tweak_non_flush_case()
self.tweak_flush_case()
self.tweak_prior()
self.compute_posterior()
def add_sample_space(self):
@ -848,12 +851,8 @@ class UpdatePokerPrior(SampleSpaceScene):
self.dither(2)
self.play(*map(FadeOut, [post_words, post_arrow]))
def tweak_estimates(self):
def preview_tweaks(self):
post_rects = self.post_rects
self.revert_to_original_skipping_status()
self.preview_tweaks(post_rects)
def preview_tweaks(self, post_rects):
new_value_lists = [
(0.85, 0.1, 0.11),
(0.97, 0.3, 1./22),
@ -866,7 +865,72 @@ class UpdatePokerPrior(SampleSpaceScene):
self.play(*self.get_prior_change_anims(
new_values[-1], post_rects
))
self.dither()
self.dither(2)
def tweak_non_flush_case(self):
her = self.her
her.scale_in_place(0.7)
her.change_mode("plain")
her.shift(DOWN)
her.glasses = SunGlasses(her)
post_rects = self.post_rects
risk_averse_words = TextMobject(
"Suppose risk \\\\ averse \\dots"
)
risk_averse_words.scale(0.7)
risk_averse_words.next_to(her, DOWN)
risk_averse_words.shift_onto_screen()
self.dither(2)
self.play(*map(FadeIn, [her, her.glasses]))
self.play(LaggedStart(FadeIn, risk_averse_words))
self.play(her.change_mode, "sad", Animation(her.glasses))
self.dither()
self.play(
*self.get_conditional_change_anims(1, 0.1, post_rects),
run_time = 3
)
self.dither(3)
self.play(
FadeOut(risk_averse_words),
*self.get_conditional_change_anims(1, 0.3, post_rects),
run_time = 2
)
def tweak_flush_case(self):
her = self.her
post_rects = self.post_rects
self.play(
her.change_mode, "erm", Animation(her.glasses)
)
self.play(
*self.get_conditional_change_anims(0, 0.5, post_rects),
run_time = 3
)
self.dither(3)
self.play(*self.get_conditional_change_anims(
0, 0.97, post_rects
))
self.dither()
def tweak_prior(self):
her = self.her
post_rects = self.post_rects
self.play(
her.change_mode, "happy", Animation(her.glasses)
)
self.play(
*self.get_prior_change_anims(0.3, post_rects),
run_time = 2
)
self.dither(3)
self.play(
*self.get_prior_change_anims(1./22, post_rects),
run_time = 2
)
self.play(*map(FadeOut, [her, her.glasses]))
def compute_posterior(self):
pass